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HomeMy WebLinkAbout020323-02.1 Mid-Year 2022-23 Operating Budget UpdateMID -YEAR 2022/23 OPERATING BUDGET UPDATE INTRODUCTION The Annual Planning and Goal Setting Workshop provides an opportunity for the Town Council to review the status of the Town's finances at the mid -point of the 2022/23 fiscal year, including revenues, expenditures, and potential changes that could affect the operating budget or the ten-year forecasts. The operating budget is adopted following an extensive preparation and review process. Once adopted, it is a dynamic plan that can be subject to revenue or expenditure variations driven by factors as broad as the economy or as narrow as shifts in a specific service need. As such, all Town finances are closely monitored throughout the fiscal year. The mid -year update identifies potentially significant deviations from the adopted operating budget and recommends mid -year adjustments that may be required to revenues or expenditures. The formal mid -year financial report will be presented to the Town Council for consideration at the February 21, 2023, Town Council meeting. As of December 31, 2022, revenues are tracking ahead of the approved budget forecast, while expenditures are on track to finish the fiscal year lower than budgeted. Overall fiscal condition remains strong, and the Town expects to finish the fiscal year on a positive note. BACKGROUND The Town is preparing to end the local State of Emergency that was declared at the outset of the Coronavirus pandemic in March 2019. Through a series of actions and outcomes spanning three fiscal years, the Town has successfully navigated the economic impacts of the pandemic upon Town operations. Economic recovery has been aided by growth in property values which have yielded increased property tax revenue; growth in online commerce which has generated new sales tax revenue; and federal assistance received in the form of the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) of 2021. 2022/23 operating expenditures have restored and resumed service delivery in most areas. Ten-year forecasts covering 2022/23 through 2031/32 see the Town continuing to chart a fiscally sustainable course, while facing minimally reduced service levels in some areas. Despite emerging from the pandemic, new fiscal challenges continue to be presented. Rapid economic expansion occurred during the pandemic, through federal stimulus funding that reached consumers. However, that growth has proven to be unsustainable, leading to rising inflation. In an attempt to stabilize the economy, between Q3 of 2021 and Q3 of 2022 the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate from 0.25% to 3.25%. Inflation remains above the Federal Reserve price stability goal, further risking a recession in the near future. For the Town, continuation of this trend into 2023/24 and beyond, will continue to drive up costs for personnel, contracted services, materials and supplies at rates that will outpace forecast revenue growth and budgeted costs. MID -YEAR 2022/23 OPERATING BUDGET STATUS As of December 31, 2022, overall revenues are tracking ahead of the approved budget, while expenditures are on track to finish the fiscal year within budget. Overall fiscal condition remains strong, and the Town expects to finish the year on a positive note. The 2021/22 fiscal year ended with an unreserved, undesignated fund balance of $4.8 million; and in July 2022, the Town received the second and final tranche of $5.3 million in Coronavirus Local Fiscal Recovery Funds through the American Rescue Plan Act. Expenditures are largely tracking within budget. However, as a result of the unprecedented and severe storms that occurred between December 31 - January 14, the Town has incurred significant, unanticipated recovery and repair costs. These costs continue to be incurred as work continues. Total repair and recovery costs are expected to total $500,000 to $1 million absent additional weather-related damage. The recent nature of the damage and related recovery efforts is such that additional time will be required to more fully and accurately account for the Town's storm related costs. REVENUES Town revenues are received in increments that vary from monthly to annually during the fiscal year. Complete revenue information becomes available only upon close of the fiscal year and acceptance of the ACFR. Total revenues of $38.5 million were forecast for 2022/23, a 7.6% increase from $35.8 million for 2021/22. 2 Table 1 illustrates revenues received through December 31, 2022, the mid -point of the 2022/23 fiscal year. Exhibit A to this memorandum expands upon this information to include a comparison for each of the three prior fiscal years (2019/20 - 2021/22). General Fund Table 1 Mid -Year Revenue Summary Budget Mid -Year % of Forecast Actual Total Property Tax $16,200,000 $ 6,846,134 42.3% Sales Tax $ 6,000,000 $ 3,011,151 50.2% Property Transfer Tax $ 650,000 $ 226,465 34.8% Transient Occupancy $ 125,000 $ 40,115 32.1% Business License $ 350,000 $ 311,334 89.0% Franchise Cable $ 800,000 $ 204,343 25.5% Franchise Solid Waste $ 863,788 $ 434,402 50.3% Franchise Gas & Electric $ 575,000 $ - 0.0% Fines & Forfeitures $ 150,000 $ 32,643 21.8% Interest Income $ 500,000 $ 155,076 31.0% Rental Income $ 178,521 $ 91,657 51.3% Recreation Fees and Charges $ 2,034,067 $ 946,882 46.6% Special Revenue Budget Mid -Year % of Forecast Actual Total Building and Planning $ 2,153,200 $ 1,752,021 81.4% Engineering $ 302,205 $ 267,864 88.6% Gas Tax $ 1,800,000 $ 972,713 54.0% Measure J - RTS $ 771,781 $ 198,134 25.7% Clean Water $ 572,700 $ 5,580 1.0% LLAD - A $ 583,858 $ 332,875 57.0% LLAD - B $ 746,968 $ 335,223 44.9% LLAD - C $ 664,183 $ 375,670 56.6% LLAD - D $ 1,134,741 $ 608,582 53.6% Solid Waste VIF $ 872,257 $ 434,402 49.8% General Fund General Fund revenues are tracking ahead of the budget forecast. Property Tax - Property tax continues to be the Town's largest revenue source, accounting for 56.5% of the General Fund. Although the Town receives only 7.5% of total property taxes paid, Danville property values have continued to appreciate, generating increased tax revenues for the Town. Higher interest rates have resulted in valuations levelling off and beginning to decline, and the Town will continue to monitor this very closely moving forward into the 2023/24 budget cycle. 3 Actual 2021/22 revenues totaled $17,805,336. The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $16,200,00. At mid -year, actual revenues are exceeding the forecast and tracking ahead of the 2021/22 mid -year receipts. Based upon mid -year information, Property Tax revenues are expected to exceed the budget forecast by an estimated $1 million. Sales Tax - Sales tax accounts for 20.9% of the General Fund. Current year forecasts anticipated sales tax growth of 14.3%. Online transactions now account for a significant segment of the Town's total sales tax revenue. Sales tax growth which has been robust over the past two years as part of the economic recovery is expected to slow in future years as the economy enters more of a recessionary cycle. Actual 2021/22 revenues totaled $7,315,831. The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $6,000,000. Mid -year revenues are exceeding the budget forecast and tracking ahead of the 2021/22 mid -year receipts. Based upon mid -year information, Sales Tax revenues are expected to exceed the budget forecast by an estimated $1 million. Property Transfer Tax - Though the real estate market continues to see high values, sales volumes have slowed due to higher interest rates. Actual 2021/22 revenues totaled $1,013,688. The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $650,000. Mid -year revenues represent 34.8% of the annual forecast. Based upon mid -year information, revenues are expected to meet the budget forecast. Business License Tax - Business license payments were due by August 1 and mid- year receipts represent 89.0% of the forecast for the year. Based upon mid -year information, revenues are expected to meet the budget forecast. Franchise Fees - Franchise fees for Cable, Solid Waste and Gas and Electric are received at various times throughout the year (from monthly to annually). Current year revenues are tracking closely with prior years on a percentage basis. Based upon mid -year information, revenues are expected to meet the budget forecast. Recreation Fees and Charges - Recreation fees and charges have been most significantly impacted by the pandemic. Current revenues were forecast to increase by 35.6% from the prior year, continuing a gradual recovery. Classes and programs offered continue to increase as the pandemic has eased up. Actual revenues for 2021/22 totaled $1,667,350. The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $2,034,067. This represents approximately 60% of the revenue received in years prior to the pandemic. Based upon mid -year information, revenues are expected to meet the budget forecast. Donations - No donation revenue was budgeted for 2022/23. Subsequently the Town has received a $10,000 donation to purchase security camera equipment. A mid -year adjustment of $10,000 is recommended to recognize the receipt of the $10,000 in donations. 4 Special Purpose Revenue Special Purpose revenues are tracking ahead of the budget forecast. Building and Planning - The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $2,153,200. Actual 2021/22 revenues totaled $2,932,342. At mid -year, revenues collected represent 81.4% of the budget forecast. Based upon mid -year information, revenues are expected to exceed the budget forecast by an estimated $200,000. Gas Tax - The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $1,800,000. Actual 2021/22 revenues totaled $1,954,911. At mid -year, revenues collected represent 54.0% of the budget forecast. Based upon mid -year information, revenues are expected to exceed the budget forecast by an estimated $100 - $150,000. Measure J Return to Source (RTS) - RTS revenues come from the countywide half cent sales tax for transportation and are received as single year end payment. The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $771,781. Actual 2021/22 revenues totaled $1,111,730. Based upon mid -year information revenues are expected to meet the budget forecast. Solid Waste Diversion Incentive Fees - Solid Waste DIF are collected from the Town's solid waste and recycling haulers to offset wear and tear on Town streets. The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $872,257. Actual 2021/22 revenues totaled $854,168. Based upon mid -year information revenue is expected to meet the budget forecast. Lighting and Landscape Assessment District - LLAD revenues are based upon set assessment rates collected to help offset costs to maintain Town parks, roadside landscaping and street lighting. The budget forecast for 2022/23 is $3,129,750. Actual 2021/22 revenue totaled $3,195,658. Mid -year revenues received through mid -year is comparable to that received in each of the three prior years. Based upon mid -year information LLAD revenue is expected to meet the budget forecast. A determination regarding how to proceed with increasing LLAD rates for the first time in twenty years is timely. Revenues are flat and losing ground to inflation, and the LLAD has been unable to fund any capital maintenance or capital improvements for some time. Consideration should be given to what changes would need to be made in order to revisit the LLAD. The Council may want to identify and consider other potential funding options as well. Successor Agency Real Property Tax Trust Fund (RPTTF) revenues are budgeted at $2,272,250, inclusive of Town re -payment under the Re -stated Cooperation Loan Agreement with the former CDA. RPTTF revenues fund debt service payments for the 2001 and 2005 Certificates of Participation, the 2001 Taxable Revenue Bonds, and reimbursement of allowed administrative costs. Based upon mid -year information, revenues are expected to meet the budget forecast. 5 Revenue Summary Thus far in 2022/23, the Town Council has approved one budget adjustment: • Resolution No. 63-2022, increased revenues in the General Fund by $62,906 to accept SB 1383 Local Assistance Grant program funding received from CalRecycle. Recommended Mid -Year Revenue Adjustments One mid -year adjustment is recommended: • Increase "Donations" by $10,000 in order to allow the donation received for the Police Department to be expended. At mid -year, there are significant positive variances to the budget forecast for Property Tax, Sales Tax, Building and Planning Fees and Gas Tax. Barring any significant unforeseen expense, total revenues for 2022/23 will exceed the budget forecast. Due to the anticipated positive variance, no further mid -year revenue adjustments are necessary. Table 2 summarizes the adopted budget forecast, prior amendments and recommended mid -year adjustments. TOTAL General Fund Special Revenue ARPA Successor Agency EXPENDITURES Mid -Year Adopted Budget $ 46,089,360 $ 28,665,329 $ 9,827,912 $ 5,323,869 $ 2,272,250 Table 2 Revenue Summary Prior Amendments $ 46,152,266 $ 28,728,235 $ 9,827,912 $ 5,323,869 $ 2,272,250 Mid -Year Revised $ 46,152,266 $ 28,728,235 $ 9,837,912 $ 5,323,869 $ 2,272,250 The 2022/23 operating budget includes total operating expenditures of $35.77 million, a 7.6% increase from the 2021/22 budget of $33.25 million. General Government - The budget for 2022/23 is $2,197,461. Direct and contract costs are largely tracking within budget. Outside legal costs resulting from Town initiated litigation are exceeding what was budgeted in the City Attorney's budget. One mid- year adjustment is recommended to increase the City Attorney budget by $100,000. 6 Police Services - The budget for 2022/23 is $11,378,646. Contract and direct costs are tracking within budget. One private party donation received will be used to purchase security camera equipment. One mid -year adjustment is recommended to increase the Police Services Management budget by $10,000. Administrative Services - The budget for 2022/23 is $4,238,464. Costs are tracking within budget and no mid -year adjustments are recommended. Development Services - The budget for 2022/23 is $5,179,933. Significant efforts such as the 2023-30 Housing Element and the Downtown Master Plan have been completed and high development -driven demand continues to occur in Building Services. Costs are tracking within budget and no mid -year adjustments are recommended. Maintenance Services - The budget for 2022/23 is $8,516,458. Maintenance costs are currently tracking within the budget and no mid -year adjustments are recommended. Recreation, Arts and Community Services - The budget for 2022/23 is $4,256,628. RACS costs are currently tracking within the budget and no mid -year adjustments are recommended Personnel - The 2022/ 23 budget for regular and part-time temporary employees is $14.6 million, a 9.8% increase from the prior year. At mid -year, 41.5% of the budget has been expended. No mid -year adjustments are recommended. Extraordinary Storm Recovery Costs - Severe storms struck the state during the first two weeks of 2023. The Town experienced widespread flooding, requiring significant clean up and recovery efforts which continue to be ongoing. This has resulted in significant, unanticipated recovery and repair costs, which are currently expected to total $500,000 to $1 million absent additional weather-related damage. The recent nature of the damage and related recovery efforts is such that additional time will be required to more fully and accurately account for the Town's storm related costs. Though no mid -year adjustment is recommended, a significant year end adjustment will be required to budget for all storm related costs. Successor Agency For 2022/ 23, Successor Agency operating expenditures total $1,172,250 for debt service and administrative costs. Re -payment of the outstanding balance owed under the former CDA/Town loan funds capital transfers of $1,100,000. Successor Agency expenditures remain unchanged. No mid -year adjustments are recommended. Expenditure Summary Thus far in 2022/23 the Town Council has approved two budget adjustments totaling $88,006, including: 7 • Resolution No. 63-2022, appropriating $62,906 from the General Fund to support SB 1383 compliance activities, this expense is funded from grant received from CalRecycle. • Resolution No. 97-2022, appropriating $25,100 from the Asset Replacement Fund to purchase for the replacement of one scanner/plotter device for Development Services. Recommended Mid -Year Expenditure Adjustments The following mid -year adjustments are recommended: • General Government - Increase City Attorney budget for Program Activities by $100,000 (General Fund) • Police Services - Increase Management budget by $10,000 (General Fund); Table 3 illustrates 2022/23 expenditures, including the adopted budget forecast, prior amendments and recommended mid -year adjustments. Table 3 Mid -Year Expenditure Summary Adopted Prior Mid -Year Budget Amendments Revised TOTAL $ 36,939,840 $ 37,027,846 $ 37,137,846 General Fund $ 25,336,288 $ 25,399,194 $ 25,499,194 Special Revenue $ 10,431,302 $ 10,456,402 $ 10,466,402 Successor Agency $ 1,172,250 $ 1,172,250 $ 1,172,250 Following are two additional changes that are necessary to include in the mid -year update in order to address an error or omission: • Employee Salary Ranges will be updated to include a "Program Specialist" position for Transportation with a monthly salary range of $5,643-$7,731. The Budget includes 3.0 FTE for the Transportation Division, including a Manager, a Traffic Engineering Associate, and a Program Analyst. While all three positions are currently filled, the Analyst position was underfilled at a Specialist level which is currently not included in the classification plan. • Resolution No. 98-2022, accepting the 2021/22 Audited ACFR, was approved by the Town Council on November 15, 2022. The Resolution contained an error which indicated that $6,100,000 was to be transferred into the CIP Fund at year. This number was inadvertently carried over from the prior year resolution. The correct transfer amount is $3,250,000, which coincides with what was shown in the Administrative Staff Report. 8 Transfers and Designations The 2022/23 budget includes General Fund transfers of $4,726,594: $1,300,000 for LLAD operations, $900,000 for CIP - Pavement Management Project, $75,000 for Asset Replacement, and $2,451,594 for CIP - General Purpose. On November 15, 2021, the Town Council adopted Resolution No. 98-2022, approving the 2021/22 ACFR and transferring a total of $4,769,893 from the General Fund to: CIP - General Purpose Fund - $3,250,000; Asset Replacement Fund - $1,500,000; Compensated Absences/Personnel - $269,893 and Rental Proceeds - $250,000. This increased the total 2022/23 transfers and designations to $9,496,487. Amended ARPA/ General Fund Transfers At the November 1, 2022 Study Session, the Town Council discussed the need to revise the allocation of Coronavirus Local Fiscal Recovery Funds received under the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 ("ARPA funds") in order to reduce the number of ARPA-funded capital projects and programs. This is necessary to ensure that the strict federal timeline requirements attached to the expenditure of ARPA funds can be met. At the conclusion of the Study Session, staff was directed to include the following amended ARPA transfers as part of mid -year budget adjustments: • Senior Services: Reduce ARPA funding by $500,000, increase General Fund funding by $500,000. • Mental Health: Reduce ARPA funding by $350,000, increase General Fund funding by $350,000. STATUS OF TEN-YEAR FORECAST Ten-year forecasts are key to planning for future years, ensuring long term fiscal stability and continuity of service for Town residents. This report describes factors and conditions that are likely to affect future ten-year forecasts. Additional time is required to determine how to factor in this new information toward development of the forecast as part of the upcoming 2023/24 budget process. There are no changes recommended to the ten-year forecast at mid -year. 2023/24 OPERATING BUDGET As staff prepares to move forward with the 2023/24 Operating Budget, following are considerations that have the potential to affect Town costs or service delivery, beyond levels anticipated in the current ten-year forecasts. 9 • Organizationally, the Business and Economic Development Program will be included as a part of the General Government Department. This change is revenue neutral and will be invisible to the community from a service delivery standpoint. Administrative Services will continue to include Finance, Information Technology, Human Resources, Risk Management, Internal Services and Asset Replacement. The Finance Director/Treasurer will have oversight responsibilities for these areas. • The Town will need to consider options for adjusting Town -wide LLAD rates for the first time in twenty years. Necessary preparations need to be made to position the Town to pursue a potential rate adjustment in 2024/25. • For various reasons, economic recovery related to Recreation Fees and Charges is occurring at a slower pace than forecast. • Contracted Services and Utility costs are expected to increase at rates that outpace the ten year forecast fueled by higher levels of inflation. • Personnel expenses are expected to increase more significantly than in prior years. The high rate of inflation and competition in the marketplace for certain categories of classifications has generated staff turnover at a higher than average rate over the past year and the Town will need to make adjustments in order to continue to retain and attract qualified staff. RECOMMENDATION Review and discuss the 2022/23 Mid -Year Financial Overview and provide direction and feedback to staff regarding any mid -year budget adjustments. Attachments Exhibit A - 2022/23 Mid -Year Update Year over Year Comparison 10 MID-YEAR REVENUES 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 General Fund Budget Mid-Year % Budget Mid-Year % Budget Mid-Year % Budget Mid-Year Property Tax 13,642,000 5,581,354 40.9% 14,260,222 5,853,303 41.0% 14,505,222 6,083,333 41.9% 15,200,000 6,798,599 44.7% Sales Tax 5,522,000 2,248,234 40.7% 5,577,220 2,158,204 38.7% 4,339,328 2,394,705 55.2% 5,250,000 2,630,587 50.1% Transfer Tax 590,270 288,284 48.8% 648,643 239,868 37.0% 494,838 457,186 92.4% 650,000 451,321 69.4% Transient Occupancy 159,789 49,499 31.0% 163,001 48,393 29.7% 54,597 18,859 34.5% 125,000 33,716 27.0% Business License 365,150 335,965 92.0% 365,150 336,965 92.3% 146,060 299,113 204.8% 325,150 304,771 93.7% Franchise Cable 921,858 209,925 22.8% 885,864 207,590 23.4% 899,152 201,342 22.4% 800,000 206,042 25.8% Franchise Solid Waste 794,669 344,761 43.4% 811,664 401,818 49.5% 752,413 341,125 45.3% 846,851 352,855 41.7% Franchise Gas & Electric 583,203 0 0.0% 629,404 0 0.0% 629,404 0 0.0% 575,403 0 0.0% Fines & Forfeitures 175,000 49,837 28.5% 175,000 57,100 32.6% 141,400 32,542 23.0% 150,000 30,803 20.5% Interest Income 263,000 192,942 73.4% 328,750 206,576 62.8% 197,250 107,766 54.6% 328,750 88,330 26.9% Rental Income 164,343 170,647 103.8% 163,343 181,262 111.0% 124,490 170,455 136.9% 170,035 72,080 42.4% Recreation Fees and Charges 2,675,110 1,219,338 45.6% 2,576,145 1,269,668 49.3% 1,351,262 286,465 21.2% 1,500,001 682,566 45.5% 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 Special Revenue Budget Mid-Year %a Budget Mid-Year %o Budget Mid-Year %o Budget Mid-Year % Building and Planning 2,529,200 1,108,215 43.8% 2,212,200 1,282,981 58.0% 1,787,458 1,357,186 75.9% 2,153,200 1,308,799 60.8% Engineering 137,850 145,600 105.6% 137,850 206,886 150.1% 260,535 134,581 51.7% 260,535 152,825 58.7% Gas Tax 1,840,430 740,220 40.2% 1,919,117 994,517 51.8% 969,080 935,848 96.6% 1,664,828 1,006,705 60.5% Measure J - RTS 742,857 47,921 6.5% 815,217 161,891 19.9% 576,288 5,254 0.9% 710,139 228,826 32.2% Clean Water 570,793 12,330 2.2% 572,200 14,793 2.6% 572,710 28,657 5.0% 272,700 22,187 8.1% LLAD - A 582,115 327,191 56.2% 582,115 332,294 57.1% 583,858 328,047 56.2% 583,858 336,915 57.7% LLAD - B 744,744 412,869 55.4% 744,744 412,600 55.4% 746,968 410,577 55.0% 746,968 411,144 55.0% LLAD - C 662,204 365,728 55.2% 662,204 369,641 55.8% 664,183 367,566 55.3% 664,183 366,405 55.2% LLAD - D 1,131,619 601,552 53.2% 1,131,619 603,992 53.4% 1,134,741 601,336 53.0% 1,134,741 603,759 53.2% Solid Waste VIF 238,401 98,187 41.2% 482,182 241,098 50.0% 585,000 272,900 46.6% 846,851 352,855 41.7%